What is probability weight 【Ways to Make Money Online】

admin1个月前lottery ticket60
Probability weight is a concept that I "invented", derived from 8 answers to an interesting question I once had. This question is more interesting than expected. Let me answer it: 1. According to the expected value theory, the green button is worth 50 million yuan; 2. Many people are still willing to choose the confirmed 1 million because they cannot tolerate a 50% probability of not getting anything, because after all, this is not a multiple game, how many battles can life have? 3. In other words, if a person cannot bear 'nothing', then the choice on the right is equivalent to 'you have a 50% chance of getting a billion and a 50% chance of dying'. Of course, you cannot bear death, let alone a 50% probability; 4. Open mindedly, if you have the right to make this choice, which is the "probability weight", you can sell the right probability weight worth 50 million to someone who can bear it, such as 20 million (or even higher) to him; 5. Continuing to optimize the previous item, considering the possibility of adding "finding someone willing to purchase the right you should choose", you can sell this right for only 1 million yuan (low down payment), but require the buyer to receive one billion yuan and share it with you; 6. Furthermore, you can turn this option into a lottery for public issuance, shredding the options for retail, printing 200 million copies for two yuan each. The first prize is one billion yuan. Compared to 5, the risk is lower and the return is greater; 7. Considering the successful business model of 6, we have started to raise the next one billion yuan as the top prize, making it a business; 8. According to the P/E valuation, the company raised 2 billion yuan and went public with a market value of 10 billion yuan. So, did the person who bought your "probability weight" suffer a loss?【make money,Google,guessing competition,】
标签: make money


The Right to Choose Across Time and Space 【Ways to Make Money Online】

Probability weight is a future choice weight based on probability calculation. I have set up a si...

A hundred tricks to win, look at the road to help you win【Ways to Make Money Online】

Big guy, I am Yu Jingguang, hundred this seemingly simple Zhuang idle game, why do many fans and fri...

Opening online stores in rural areas to earn high profits【Ways to Make Money Online】

n the past, Jack Ma went to create a Taobao website and asked everyone to do it, but not many people...

Barnes had a 27 point halftime victory over the Kings and Wizards, and the Clippers had a great start【Ways to Make Money Online】

Barnes had a 27 point halftime victory over the Kings and Wizards, and the Clippers had a great star...

7 Ways for Ordinary People to Make Money Mode 2: Designated Contribution Mode【Ways to Make Money Online】

Specify submission mode 1. Listening to manuscripts, opening manuscripts, and reviewing books...

Seven Ways for Ordinary People to Make Money Mode 1【Ways to Make Money Online】

Commission Model 1. Agency of a certain group Find a brand merchant, become the leader of a ce...


2023-11-25 23:04:06

Texas hold 'em free teaching plus my Twitter

2023-11-26 03:34:49

learning, I make money according to your way

2023-11-26 08:04:01

Can you add my micro blog

2023-11-26 12:38:27

Very good, share very good

2023-11-26 17:15:12

Good at seizing opportunities and the spirit of adventure can bring you rich wealth.

2023-11-26 21:50:53

Learning and constantly improving your abilities are catalysts for making money.

2023-11-27 02:29:30

Your creativity and innovative thinking can create opportunities for you to create wealth.

2023-11-27 07:06:19

leave your contact information

2023-11-27 11:39:52

Smart money management can keep your wealth growing.

2023-11-27 16:10:33

Smart decisions and wise investments will enable you to earn significant returns.

2023-11-27 20:42:44

People with patience and a long-term perspective tend to earn more wealth.

2023-11-28 01:14:54

Smart people know how to make money work for them.

2023-11-28 05:46:32

Your expertise and ingenuity can bring you endless wealth.

2023-11-28 10:16:07

Very good, share very good

2023-11-28 14:46:07

good work attitude always bring more financial return.

2023-11-28 19:19:43

Hard work and effort are the key to making money.

2023-11-28 23:51:30

Smart investing and financial strategies can help you achieve financial freedom.

2023-11-29 04:20:26

Your hard work will earn you the wealth you want.

2023-11-29 08:50:19

how much is your micro blog

2023-11-29 13:21:17

how much is your micro blog

2023-11-29 17:51:17

Can you add me to Twitter? fhjdjsfd